Crusade for MMT vs the bakers
It is getting more difficult every day to see the big picture and; how and where it is moving.
The Fed has surrendered and here’s what comes next – Saxo
Doing harm with uber-dovish – Credit Bubble Bulletin
The real end of the bond market – Alhambra Partners
]No one knows how monetary policy works – Credit Bubble Bulletin
3/24 The Fed’s in over its head…and chaos is mounting – Ron Paul
3/23 Schiff: Fed not getting it right; it’s proving how much it got wrong – SA
3/23 U.S. Treasuries signal trouble, stocks fall on global growth worries – Reuters
OK, you get the idea. It's not just the FED. The ECB and BOJ are a big mess. BOE isn't far behind. The BOJ has effectively shown that you can create debt almost without limit and still not get much price inflation. Armstrong has said to avoid ALL sovereign debt. There is one exception though.
Just business: British & US investors gobble up Russian government bonds
OK, so, sovereign bond markets are a lost cause. Keep in mind that this bond market is how the State finances itself,,, ignoring taxes.
There are 200 PHDs working for the FED. Undoubtedly, they have a pretty good idea where this is going. Powell gave it the old "college try" but, failed as expected.
3/23 The Fed has given up: get ready for more QE – Mises Institute
That is pretty much assured.
Unlimited QE has pretty much worked in Japan because they hold "all" their debt internally. Since bond buyers have pretty much deserted the BOJ, ECB and FED, this would argue that the respective Treasuries will have to openly buy State debt. Kuroda, and now Draghi have already done this. Draghi had to fire up QE again ONE MONTH after it ended. Powell had to reverse course ONE MONTH after he started rate hikes. Manufacturing is the prime value-added industry. Once it ran away, there was very little true earnings left.
3/23 U.S. runs largest monthly budget deficit on record in February – MarketWatch
3/23 Near full inversion: 10-year note inverts with 1-month T-bill – Mish
3/23 Politics has failed, now central banks are failing – Charles Hugh Smith
This isn't a completely accurate assessment.
Parkinson's Law definition is - an observation in office organization: the number of subordinates increases at a fixed rate regardless of the amount of work ..
Observation that "work expands to fill the time available for its completion," and that a sufficiently large bureaucracy will generate enough internal work to keep itself 'busy' and so justify its continued existence without commensurate output.
Over 22 million work for the government. This could accurately be called socialism.
Since the State doesn't actually produce anything, it must suck blood from the producers. BUT, every additional $1 of taxes reduces the producing economy by $3.
U.S gov takes about 40% in taxes and is reducing the productive economy. It turns to the bond markets to finance itself and avoid additional tax. Since it perpetually rolls over these bonds, it only has a finance cost, not a repayment cost. The State has pissed away the confidence of bond buyers AND has reached the practical limits on taxation.
All the debate that you hear about MMT is just a discussion to get MMT drug out into the open.
The full inversion of the 10 year vs the 1 month note suggests that there is zero confidence in the U.S. sovereign market.
https://moneymaven.io/mishtalk/econo...UatxHYqcpzsQg/
U.S. debt is rising exponentially. Powell and Trump are walking the FED to it's deathbed.
Greenspan, Yellen and Bernanke all worked to save the money renters at the cost of destroying the middle class. The CB gave the banks free money so that they did NOT have to pay interest on savings,,, to attract deposits. This saved the banks $400 billion a year on avoided interest payments to depositors. This also drove money into speculative investments that the bankers could easily skim.
All we hear about is the danger to money markets and credit markets. There is little-to-no consideration of the danger to the lower loop.
3/24 41% of New York residents say they can no longer afford to live there – Zero Hedge
So, either the treasury takes over money creation OR, the pitchforks and torches come out. The big question is; will the money be directed at the upper loop OR the lower loop?
It is getting more difficult every day to see the big picture and; how and where it is moving.
The Fed has surrendered and here’s what comes next – Saxo
Doing harm with uber-dovish – Credit Bubble Bulletin
The real end of the bond market – Alhambra Partners
]No one knows how monetary policy works – Credit Bubble Bulletin
3/24 The Fed’s in over its head…and chaos is mounting – Ron Paul
3/23 Schiff: Fed not getting it right; it’s proving how much it got wrong – SA
3/23 U.S. Treasuries signal trouble, stocks fall on global growth worries – Reuters
OK, you get the idea. It's not just the FED. The ECB and BOJ are a big mess. BOE isn't far behind. The BOJ has effectively shown that you can create debt almost without limit and still not get much price inflation. Armstrong has said to avoid ALL sovereign debt. There is one exception though.
Just business: British & US investors gobble up Russian government bonds
OK, so, sovereign bond markets are a lost cause. Keep in mind that this bond market is how the State finances itself,,, ignoring taxes.
There are 200 PHDs working for the FED. Undoubtedly, they have a pretty good idea where this is going. Powell gave it the old "college try" but, failed as expected.
3/23 The Fed has given up: get ready for more QE – Mises Institute
That is pretty much assured.
Unlimited QE has pretty much worked in Japan because they hold "all" their debt internally. Since bond buyers have pretty much deserted the BOJ, ECB and FED, this would argue that the respective Treasuries will have to openly buy State debt. Kuroda, and now Draghi have already done this. Draghi had to fire up QE again ONE MONTH after it ended. Powell had to reverse course ONE MONTH after he started rate hikes. Manufacturing is the prime value-added industry. Once it ran away, there was very little true earnings left.
3/23 U.S. runs largest monthly budget deficit on record in February – MarketWatch
3/23 Near full inversion: 10-year note inverts with 1-month T-bill – Mish
3/23 Politics has failed, now central banks are failing – Charles Hugh Smith
This isn't a completely accurate assessment.
Parkinson's Law definition is - an observation in office organization: the number of subordinates increases at a fixed rate regardless of the amount of work ..
Observation that "work expands to fill the time available for its completion," and that a sufficiently large bureaucracy will generate enough internal work to keep itself 'busy' and so justify its continued existence without commensurate output.
Over 22 million work for the government. This could accurately be called socialism.
Since the State doesn't actually produce anything, it must suck blood from the producers. BUT, every additional $1 of taxes reduces the producing economy by $3.
U.S gov takes about 40% in taxes and is reducing the productive economy. It turns to the bond markets to finance itself and avoid additional tax. Since it perpetually rolls over these bonds, it only has a finance cost, not a repayment cost. The State has pissed away the confidence of bond buyers AND has reached the practical limits on taxation.
All the debate that you hear about MMT is just a discussion to get MMT drug out into the open.
The full inversion of the 10 year vs the 1 month note suggests that there is zero confidence in the U.S. sovereign market.
https://moneymaven.io/mishtalk/econo...UatxHYqcpzsQg/
U.S. debt is rising exponentially. Powell and Trump are walking the FED to it's deathbed.
Greenspan, Yellen and Bernanke all worked to save the money renters at the cost of destroying the middle class. The CB gave the banks free money so that they did NOT have to pay interest on savings,,, to attract deposits. This saved the banks $400 billion a year on avoided interest payments to depositors. This also drove money into speculative investments that the bankers could easily skim.
All we hear about is the danger to money markets and credit markets. There is little-to-no consideration of the danger to the lower loop.
3/24 41% of New York residents say they can no longer afford to live there – Zero Hedge
So, either the treasury takes over money creation OR, the pitchforks and torches come out. The big question is; will the money be directed at the upper loop OR the lower loop?
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