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  • Bad plans,, bad results,,, no Atlantic trade

    Money just isn't moving into and around the economy. The Central bankers lowered interest rates to force people to stop relying on interest income from banks and spend their money OR move it to risk assets to get some decent interest. THAT was the belief and the plan from the CBs. Ivory tower feces-for-brains.
    "over the past 7 years central banks around the globe have gone absolutely overboard when it comes to their primary directive and have engaged every possible legal (and in the case of Europe, illegal) policy at their disposal to force consumers away from a "saving" mindset, and into purchasing risk(free) assets"
    The result; "Europe's NIRP bastions, Denmark, Sweden, and Switzerland, the more negative rates are, the higher the amount of household savings!"
    " As the BIS have highlighted, ultra-low rates may perversely be driving a greater propensity for consumers to save as retirement income becomes more uncertain."

    Bingo: that is precisely the fatal flaw in all central planning models, one which not a single tenured economist appears capable of grasping yet which even a child could easily understand. "
    "Since the middle of 2015, US investors have bought a big fat net zero of either bonds or equities (in fact, they have been net sellers of risk) and have parked all incremental cash in money-market funds instead, precisely the inert non-investment that is almost as hated by central banks as gold."
    The feces-for-brains had a plan BUT, they had/have NO brain.
    Durden postulates that the U.S. will definitely go to negative interest rates. Negative Rates In The U.S. Are Next: Here's Why In One Chart | Zero Hedge

    America the beautiful (and the IMF) have been going around looting other countries for decades. Other countries have now gone broke and America the beautiful must loot and pillage it's own people.
    The West Is Reduced To Looting Itself -- Paul Craig Roberts - PaulCraigRoberts.org

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    • Paul Craig Roberts,,, MIchael Hudson

      "Just recall how swiftly the 2007-2009 financial crisis unfolded. We anticipate that the next global financial crisis could be even more sudden and severe." "Putting on the seatbelt after the car has cashed"
      (Interview) Europe: Why It's Going to Get a Lot Worse Before It Gets Better | Elliott Wave International

      China and Japan are in an especially bad position because of capital flight. They are screwed if they try to stop it and screwed if they can't stop it.
      The End of Globalization, Part 3The West Is Traveling The Road To Economic Ruin -- Paul Craig Roberts - PaulCraigRoberts.org
      Argentina is the textbook example of a formerly rich country that was saddled with un-payable debt,,,,, and is now poor. If Argentina tries to default, some crooked judge in New York will rule against them. Then, the funds that they have on deposit in foreign countries are stolen.

      (Hudson); " His research was so ground-breaking that Harvard University appointed him Research Fellow in Babylonian economic history in the Peabody Museum. "
      You may ask, what does Babylon have to do with all this?
      Debt ALWAYS builds up to an unsupportable level. It did so in Babylon. When credit is allowed to build up to astronomic levels, default always follows. Mass defaults are chaotic and often, catastrophic. To avoid this, debt jubilees were instituted every 50 years,,, for example. Mass default causes mass starvation and a jubilee was considered a better alternative.

      A jubilee is an orderly cancellation of debt. You can bet that the bankers refuse to do this for the present credit bubble. Debt bubbles go back at least 4,000 years. The ancients figured out that a jubilee was preferred to mass default. This knowledge and conviction was lost long ago.

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      • There will be shock waves, all right. Whether it is a super nova or an ICBM, it will be catastrophic for currency.
        Epic Battle: Hedge Funds Versus ChinaLOVE ITThis is something that i have pondered all along. These financiers have made huge bets. The huge bets could very well take down the entire system that they are counting on to pay off their bets.
        Ground Control to Captain Zhou Xiaochuan | KUNSTLER
        collateral in some kind of bet against previous bets against other previous bets, you can be sure that cascading contagion will follow
        Everybody uses the Western banking system. EVERYBODY has these layers of bets on bets. It's not hard to imagine the whole credit system locking up. A lockup like that would man that wholesalers couldn't ship things,,, like FOOD and fuel.

        "In 1992, George Soros brought the Bank of England to its knees. In the process, he pocketed over a billion dollars. Making a billion dollars is by all accounts pretty cool. But demolishing the monetary system of Great Britain in a single day

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        • Ya economic power.

          [VIDEO]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=52w_lwiJbWs[/VIDEO]

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          • Full Summary Of Chinese Actions To Prevent An All-Out Economic Collapse | Zero Hedge
            "Ultimately, what will happen is that the "Shanghai Accord" idea, in which China announces a dramatic one-off devaluation, is implemented which is perhaps the only shock-approach that could possibly stem the capital flight even if it comes at the expense of a global deflationary wave. "

            China has lots of internal controls and China is arresting and "disappearing" quite a few important people in finance. China does NOT have this kind of power for external regulations and external investors. if ALL the hedge funds are betting against them, I would say that they are toast. They are bleeding out foreign reserves. If everybody is betting against them, they can't win. There is no point in fighting if they will just lose later on,,,, with far lower FX reserves. There is no real point in holding out, especially since the hedge funds control many $ trillions. We may see a devaluation in a matter of weeks. This "global deflationary wave" will indeed be a shockwave.

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            • GS may very well question CRONY capitalism. They wouldn't know free-market capitalism if it came up and bit them.Sad for the Greeks.

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              • A short video that illustrates the situation now



                There are many similar videos and I just happened to watch one yesterday. I picked this one, but they all illustrate my point. Be sure to watch one that is live, because the announcers and the control-room engineers are all taken by surprise. In fact, that is my point. Just about everyone is going to be taken by surprise when things go bad. Some will be prepared but all will likely be shocked. I can't imagine who would be so prepared as to not be shocked. I know, for example, that I have no personal experience to prepare me. It is simply beyond what I can imagine. Watch this video and see if you disagree.
                There is a reason why science has been successful and technology is widespread. Don't be afraid to do the math and apply the laws of physics.

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                • Wayne, my neighbor, Gene was head of engineering at Rockwell. Rockwell told NASA NOT to launch if it was too cold. NASA told the launch officials to take off their engineering hats and put on their PR hats.
                  Most people have had their sense of survival bred out of them. They will sit there and wait for somebody to help them.

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                  • Flight to the dollar,,,, reset to gold

                    America the beautiful just prints more and more dollars to buy what it wants. Sr. Price argues that all trade imbalances will go away because we must switch back to gold. .:Plata:.Gold & the Dow | Armstrong Economics

                    China will be forced to devalue to stop capital flight. This will help them hold on to market share in manufacturing. Gold & the Dow | Armstrong EconomicsThis article is about giving helicopter money to everybody. The Fed's Nuclear Option - The Independent International Political Research CenterCurrency inflation, seen from the street level is just a cut in wages. Everyone else is dragged in unless they want to lose market share and employment. The Age of Instability - The Daily Reckoning

                    Volatility makes it impossible for investors to calculate future profits so, they stay out of the markets. GOV enforces negative interest rates to force them out of cash and into investments. The negative interest rates wipe out anyone who depends on interest income so, they spend less. There is less spending,,, less profit.
                    The Age of Instability - The Daily Reckoning
                    There is an ongoing flight to the U.S. dollar and it may be soime time before people lose confidence in it; http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/42811
                    Deutsche bank with $ 65 trillion in derivatives is about to blow; http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...-deutsche-bank
                    Deutsche Bank is in a good position to see the bad signs and , they see a LOT of them; http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-0...new-record-lowOK, so, you can forget about the huge crash in oil,,,, that caused the crash of banks,,,, and just worry about the banks.
                    Sr. Price may very well be correct about the return of gold to stop the currency wars. I don't see the possibility of a smooth transition. America was a high-wage producer. As we lost our lock on manufacturing , GOV decided to trash the currency to regain market share. BUT, the dollar is going up and we are losing market share. In a currency war, everybody's wages go down so, consumption goes down.

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                    • The Rapture, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton And 50 Other Excuses People Use For Not Prepping

                      " Global Stocks Enter Bear Market: One-Fifth Of All Worldwide Stock Market Wealth Is Already Gone" Everybody is predicting hyperinflation BUT, losses like this negate inflationary pressures. this time will definitely be different.
                      Not too strangely, crime is up; Los Angeles Police Urge Residents ?To Protect Themselves? As Violent Crime Skyrockets
                      The layoffs are getting worse; 22 Signs That The Global Economic Turmoil We Have Seen So Far In 2016 Is Just The BeginningKeep pumping til you drop.Marvellous, that will fix everything. Gas in Ca. is expensive because they added tons of tax for cap-and-trade.

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                      • Slamming the transmission into reverse

                        This is an old number. A barrel of oil is sold 48 times before it is consumed. Speculators add $ 27 to the cost of a barrel of oil. Exxon profits $ 2.31 for a barrel of finished product. Lindsay Williams is an unofficial spokesman for the oil barons. He reports that they are VERY tired of profit-takers and GOV taxes taking all the margin from their business.
                        Speculators add $ 27 to the cost. This has gone into reverse and the banks are crashing. You can bet that the oil majors aren't shedding a tear.
                        The whole system is in a feedback loop.
                        "Markets are currently in a well-oiled "death spiral," according to Citigroup Inc. analysts led by Jonathan Stubbs.

                        "It appears that four inter-linked phenomena are driving a negative feedback loop in the global economy and across financial markets,"
                        Citi: 'We Should All Fear Oilmageddon' - Bloomberg Businesshttps://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/i...MeVs3zcWM5k2w3

                        The great oil unwind is causing the great financial unwind. This is likely to cause the great credit unwind. Chinese traditionally go back home for Chinese new year. MANY of them are going back the the farm and the village on a one-way ticket. When the industrial economy does not have a niche for you, you must return to the agrarian economy to survive. Should the credit markets freeze up, there will be a lot of people who will yearn to change to a more secure living doing subsistence farming.

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                        • Peak GOV goes away with the end of peak credit

                          More and more things are falling apart faster and faster. It is increasingly difficult for me to integrate these things into a complete picture.
                          Faster yet; 22 Signs That The Global Economic Turmoil We Have Seen So Far In 2016 Is Just The Beginning
                          Global bank risk; Global Financial System Risk Is Soaring Worldwide | Zero Hedge

                          Private credit is the "chart of doom"; Of Two Minds - The Chart of Doom: When Private Credit Stops Expanding...
                          Charles Hugh Smith; "The ultimate cost of protecting the privileges of the few at the expense of the many is the dissolution of the social order that enabled the rule of the privileged few."
                          My three primary models of decay and collapse are:

                          1. Historian David Hackett Fischer's masterwork The Great Wave: Price Revolutions and the Rhythm of History (given to me by longtime correspondent Cheryl A.)

                          2. Thomas Homer-Dixon's The Upside of Down: Catastrophe, Creativity, and the Renewal of Civilization

                          3. The decline of the Western Roman Empire (the process, not Edward Gibbon's epic 6-volume history). My recommended book on the topic (a short read): The Fall of the Roman Empire

                          Of Two Minds - The Opaque Process of Collapse

                          The banking cabal is strictly parasitic. Same for GOV. They get along well. ZIRP is a war on savers. It has gone on for years because their "take" from the productive economy (that is no longer producing) has fallen too far for them to survive. This protracted war on savers is killing what is left of a normal economy. The War On Savers And The 200 Rulers Of Global Finance | David Stockman's Contra Corner

                          The other mega-parasite, GOV, is hard at work trying to squeeze every last penny before the crash. With the crash of credit, GOV will NOT have the resources to employ millions of snoopers to look into every nook and cranny of your life.

                          "What we can expect will be an increasingly desperate attempt to rob people of their personal wealth. The situation will ramp up to a draconian level. Then, quite suddenly, the crisis will be upon us. The dreaded tanks will run out of fuel - the governments will lose the economic power to continue their advance against economic freedom."

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                          • Killing Deutches bank

                            Treasury secretary Hank Paulson came to GOV directly from Goldman Sacks. Lehman Bros was the arch-enemy of GS for over 100 years. Paulson EXCLUDED Lehman Bros from the TARP money. It was a straight kill job. When LTCM crashed, everybody had to pony up some money to keep the whole system from blowing up. Bear Stearns refused to participate and was later killed by it's competitors. AIG was killed when it's competitors dumped everything and killed it.
                            Deutches bank; the more that the CB prints (at the behest of GS), the more money flows out of stocks,,, including bank stocks. Mario Draghi is straight from GS. Mario Draghi is printing a ton of money. This is killing Deutches bank.
                            A Wounded Deutsche Bank Lashes Out At Central Bankers: Stop Easing, You Are Crushing Us | Zero Hedge
                            (Draghi)"ECB head fulfills the desires of his former employer Goldman Sachs first and foremost, one would wonder if as we speculated last summer Deutsche Bank is not indeed the next Lehman, if for no other reason than Goldman has decided the German financial behemoth should be the next bank to fail, and unleash the next global taxpayer-funded bailout episode."

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                            • So, we are going to do a lot of catch-up on the downside.
                              A version of this post first appeared in The Felder Report PREMIUM. About a month ago former Fed head, Richard Fisher, came out and confirmed the idea that the FOMC's quantitative easing policies over the past seven years have pushed prices of risk assets, including stocks, beyond what would otherw
                              They will shake apart.Cause the banks were insolvent before the selloff.Without fresh lending, they can't roll-over their existing debt.They haven't been screwed enough by the European Central Bank so, they also want a finance ministry. One more step to a world GOV that will never work. Nope, it will be stolen by GOV and bankers.Forget the flirting. Lets get down and dirty.Very strange,,, you don't pay them and,,, they stop consuming.
                              The meltdown of Deutches bank should be pretty traumatic. What about the contagion? Will it blow at the same time as China?

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                              • Davidson, Armstrong and Rogers

                                Davidson has a good track record of predicting all the crunches for the last few decades. 80% Stock Market Crash To Strike in 2016, Economist Warns - The Sovereign Investor
                                Legendary Investor Jim Rogers Warns: "Most People Are Going To Suffer The Next Time Around"

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